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Swiss economy – as solid as a rock

Most industrialised countries currently face a bleak outlook, with recessionary fears, soaring inflation and weak economic indicators. Switzerland, however, stands out from the crowd because its economy is once again doing quite well. Comment by our fund analyst and Swiss market specialist Daniel Steck.

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Positive indicators

Although GDP growth has slowed, macroeconomic indicators are higher than in other regions, and it seems unlikely that Switzerland will enter a recession in the next twelve months. On top of that, other data, such as corporate earnings, keep coming in better than expected. Inflation is also well below the levels seen elsewhere in Europe and in the States.

The current uncertainties in Switzerland's favour

The lack of visibility makes the Swiss market all the more attractive – Swiss equities proved more resilient than others in the first half of the year and will continue to hold up well until global uncertainty and recessionary fears subside. However, if investors start wanting to take on more risk, which seems to have been the case in recent weeks, Swiss equities – particularly large caps – may struggle.

Given the high level of uncertainty, especially in Europe, we remain constructive on the Swiss market. We also recommend turning back to small caps, which have been largely overlooked since the beginning of the year and whose valuations are once again becoming attractive.

 

Interested in this topic? Join our next webinar on Tuesday, October 4, 2022, “Strategy and Market Update” (in French) and learn more about the investment opportunities around Switzerland. Ask all your questions live to our specialists! Register here!

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Summary

Most industrialised countries currently face a bleak outlook, with recessionary fears, soaring inflation and weak economic indicators. Switzerland, however, stands out from the crowd because its economy is once again doing quite well. Comment by our fund analyst and Swiss market specialist Daniel Steck.

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